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Special Announcement
April 1, 2004

Contact:  Anita Gore
Ed Wilson
Mark Oldfield
Don Drysdale
(916) 323-1886

California Earthquake Evaluation Prediction Council
Assesses UCLA Prediction Research

On February 20, 2004, the California Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council met to review an earthquake prediction for southern California made by Professor Vladimir Keilis-Borok of UCLA. The Council is a body of scientists who advise the Governor’s Office of Emergency Services on the validity of earthquake predictions and on the likelihood of future earthquakes in California. Click here for the Council’s report to OES. The Council neither validated nor invalidated the prediction. The scientists felt that there was insufficient theoretical basis for a valid prediction and an insufficient track record for a statistical validation. The Council did, however, recognize the efforts of the scientists as an area of research that could lead to future success in earthquake prediction.