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Earthquake Scenario Publications 

Earthquake Planning Scenarios published by the California Geological Survey:

  • The ShakeOut Scenario - Effects of a Potential M7.8 Earthquake on the San Andreas fault in Southern California, CGS Preliminary Report 25/USGS Open File Report 2008-1150 - This PDF is the full preliminary report for the 2008 ShakeOut Scenario. The PDF is around 21 megabytes.  Click here to download Preliminary Report 25.
  • SP115 - 1995 - Planning Scenario in Humboldt and Del Norte Counties, California for a Great Earthquake on the Cascadia Subduction Zone - Toppozada, T.R., & others
    The proposed effects of a large subduction zone earthquake and the damage caused by shaking and a possible tsunami.
  • SP112 - 1994 - Planning Scenario for a Major Earthquake on the Rodgers Creek Fault in the Northern San Francisco Bay Area - Toppozada, T.R., Borchardt, G., Hallstrom, C.L., & Youngs, L.G.
    The proposed effects of a magnitude 7 earthquake caused by the Rogers Creek Fault rupturing from San Pablo Bay to Santa Rosa.
  • SP102 - 1993 - Planning Scenario for a Major Earthquake on the San Jacinto Fault in the San Bernardino Area - Toppozada, T.R., Borchardt, G., & Hallstrom, C.L.
    The proposed effects of a magnitude 7 earthquake along the San Jacinto Fracture Zone.
  • SP100 - 1990 - Planning Scenario for a Major Earthquake in the San Diego-Tijuana Metropolitan Area - Reichle, M.S., & others
    The proposed effects of a large earthquake on the Rose Canyon and associated faults.
  • SP099 - 1988 - Planning Scenario for a Major Earthquake on the Newport-Inglewood Fault Zone [Los Angeles and Orange Counties, California] - Toppozada, T.R., Bennett, J.H., Borchardt, G., Saul, R., and Davis, J.F.
  • SP078 - 1987 - Earthquake Planning Scenario for a Magnitude 7.5 Earthquake on the Hayward Fault in the San Francisco Bay Area, California - Steinbrugge, K.V. & others
    The proposed effects of magnitude 7.5 earthquake along the most densely populated fault in the state.
  • SP061 - 1982 - Earthquake Planning Scenario for a Magnitude 8.3 Earthquake on the San Andreas Fault in the San Francisco Bay Area, California - Davis, J.F., & others
    The proposed effects of a repeat of the Great 1906 San Francisco Earthquake on population of the San Francisco Bay Area.
  • SP060 - 1982 - Earthquake Planning Scenario for a Magnitude 8.3 Earthquake on the San Andreas Fault in Southern California - Davis, J.F., & others
    The proposed effects of a repeat of the Great 1857 Fort Tejon Earthquake on population of the Los Angeles, Ventura and Orange counties' populations..